The journal of defence technology and strategic futures
Narrative Intelligence and the Architecture of Plausible Futures Orbis Futura Review — Essay #11 Epistemic status: Speculative. What follows is…
A cross-domain framework for modelling and evaluating detection systems against threats designed to evade them, with hypersonic tracking as the…
Conscious incompetence, the conformity of large language models, and the coming geopolitics of epistemic capability The strategic entwinement of innovation…
Why the answer to attribution-proof and autonomous aggression is not a better tripwire but a permanent framework of cooperation —…
Three regimes of capital — sovereign wealth, the venture-intelligence model, and regulation itself — are reshaping the innovation frontier in…
Stress-Extended VV&A: a proposed framework for bounding the credibility of commercial-off-the-shelf simulation in defence systems Abstract Defence organisations increasingly rely…
Assistance and sanctions both produce unintended innovation effects. From the Dawes Plan to Iran’s Hormuz doctrine, the pattern is general….
Why ‘defence innovation’ is not one market but three — and why treating it as one is an error about…
The Geography of Research as a Leading Indicator of Geopolitical Power EPISTEMIC LABEL: PROBABLE I. The Argument: Geography Outperforms…
What sits in today’s open literature, dismissed, the way Ufimtsev’s math once sat in a Soviet drawer? Epistemic label: SPECULATIVE….
“Basic research is the pacemaker of technological progress.” — Vannevar Bush, Science, the Endless Frontier, 1945[^bush1945] Overarching epistemic status:…